Lexington, Massachusetts, USA
Point Forecast Updated Sat Apr 20, 2024 4:01am EDT
Clouds briefly decrease tonight, but increase again on Sunday as a fast-moving frontal system moves through. This should bring another round of light rain showers, but there is a chance for isolated thunderstorms across portions of CT, RI and south of the Mass Pike in MA Sunday afternoon and night. Showers diminish Sunday night, setting the stage for a mild and dry start to the work week. More unsettled by mid week, with a large degree of uncertainty revolving around temperatures and precipitation timing.
Rain Showers Likely
Lo 47 °F
Rain showers likely and patchy fog. Cloudy, with a low around 47. South wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Rain Showers
Hi 61 °F
Rain showers and patchy fog. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 61. Southwest wind 6 to 12 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Slight Chance Rain Showers then Patchy Frost
Lo 36 °F
A slight chance of rain showers before 7pm, then patchy frost. Partly cloudy, with a low around 36. West wind 5 to 12 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Patchy Frost then Mostly Sunny
Hi 59 °F
Patchy frost before 7am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 59. West wind 6 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Mostly Clear
Lo 39 °F
Mostly clear, with a low around 39. West wind 8 to 12 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.
Sunny
Hi 57 °F
Sunny, with a high near 57. Northwest wind 12 to 15 mph.
Clear
Lo 34 °F
Clear, with a low around 34. West wind 3 to 12 mph.
Mostly Sunny
Hi 62 °F
Mostly sunny, with a high near 62. Southwest wind 5 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.
Mostly Cloudy then Slight Chance Rain Showers
Lo 44 °F
A slight chance of rain showers after 5am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44. South wind 13 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph.
Rain Showers Likely
Hi 59 °F
Rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 59. South wind 14 to 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Rain Showers Likely
Lo 36 °F
Rain showers likely before 5am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36. West wind around 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Mostly Sunny
Hi 52 °F
Mostly sunny, with a high near 52. Northwest wind around 17 mph.
Partly Cloudy
Lo 36 °F
Partly cloudy, with a low around 36. West wind 12 to 16 mph.
Mostly Sunny
Hi 58 °F
Mostly sunny, with a high near 58. Northwest wind around 13 mph.
Updated Sat Apr 20, 2024 4:01am EDT
000 FXUS61 KBOX 140612 AFDBOX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA 212 AM EDT Sun Apr 14 2024 .SYNOPSIS... Clouds briefly decrease tonight, but increase again on Sunday as a fast-moving frontal system moves through. This should bring another round of light rain showers, but there is a chance for isolated thunderstorms across portions of CT, RI and south of the Mass Pike in MA Sunday afternoon and night. Showers diminish Sunday night, setting the stage for a mild and dry start to the work week. More unsettled by mid week, with a large degree of uncertainty revolving around temperatures and precipitation timing. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/... 1005 PM Update: Earlier scattered showers have continued to dissipate, but still dealing with a good deal of cloud cover and westerly winds around 10-15 mph (around 20 mph Cape and Islands) with gusts 20-30 mph. Brought hourly temps up by 3-5 degrees over inherited forecast thru early overnight to account for slow cooling under clouds and the breezes with this update, but cloud cover should begin to decrease more significantly after midnight coinciding with eastward passage of 500 mb trough axis into the Canadian Maritimes. That also should bring easing gust speeds too, although sustained winds still will run around 10 mph for most of the night. Forecast for second half of the night seems to reflect these expectations well and made no changes there with this update. Previous Discussion... A smattering of diurnal showers continues across much of southern New England this afternoon driven largely by the broad trough passing overhead. The axis of said trough (now just east of the region) will continue to march east through the evening as the shortwave lifts out. This loss of synoptic forcing together with loss of daytime heating will mean diminishing showers and cloud coverage toward sunset, with skies really clearing after 2-3AM. As mid level heights briefly rise we'll end the night and start Sunday with mostly clear skies. While winds will remain breezy overnight, temps should drop several degrees compared to lows last night under the cooler air mass, into the upper 30s/low 40s. && .SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM MONDAY/... If you get outside during the morning hours tomorrow you should be able to get enjoy party sunny skies, though an approaching warm front and associated mid level trough will mean skies quickly cloud over after noon. It will be followed quickly by a cold front as the weak surface low passes overhead or just to our north Sunday afternoon and evening. Given the 30-60 kt LLJ passing just offshore and a modest PWAT plume of ~1 inch this frontal system should bring anywhere from a few hundredths of an inch to a half inch of rain. Hi- resolution guidance is in general agreement that we'll see two distinct rounds of rain: first some light warm advection showers in the late morning/early afternoon followed by a lull and then a round of heavier rain accompanying the cold front Sunday evening. Where confidence is lower is how much drying we'll have between these rounds or if showers hang around much of the day. There remains potential for some rumbles of thunder ahead of the cold front as well, depending on how far the warm sector extends east into southern New England. Currently decent mid-level lapse rates (6.5- 7.5C/km) and a few hundred J/kg of CAPE extend into western CT/MA where the best chance of thunder will be in the afternoon, and the SPC has these locations under a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) of severe storms. Can't rule out a rumble of thunder along the immediate south coast later in the evening as the low passes. The cold front and line of rain/thunderstorms should move off of Cape Cod by midnight leaving rapidly clearing skies under drying NW flow. && .LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/... Highlights: * Drying trend develops Monday and Tuesday * Mild start to the week, uncertainty in temperatures the second half of the work week * Unsettled conditions should return late Wednesday into next weekend Much of this portion of the forecast should feature a broad mid level over southern New England through early next week. A stronger mid level cutoff should move from Hudson Bay to the Saint Lawrence Valley during this time as well. We should catch a brief break beneath a ridge towards Wednesday. After then though, there is quite a bit of uncertainty in the synoptic details within the latest guidance suite. Have sketched out a general period of unsettled weather from late Wednesday into next Saturday, but fully expecting the timing details to change with later forecasts. Not much different at the surface. High pressure starts to build across southern New England for Monday, but is more in place for Tuesday. Thus, despite the trough aloft, thinking we will see dry weather with at least some sunshine. Will have to monitor the humidity, as this could be a setup for more diurnal clouds, at least for Monday. Then the aforementioned timing issues become more of a factor. High pressure should move off to the east, opening a path for a low pressure to impact our region sometime from late Wednesday into Thursday morning. This low pressure is currently projected to move offshore for Friday, but a warm front should be lingering nearby. A cold front should sweep most of the unsettled weather out over the North Atlantic for Saturday, assuming the current timing holds. Temperatures expected to be near to above normal through this portion of the forecast. && .AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... Forecast Confidence Levels: Low - less than 30 percent. Moderate - 30 to 60 percent. High- greater than 60 percent. 06z TAF Update: Through 12z Sunday: High confidence. SCT-OVC VFR cloudiness, bases 035-060, but decreasing by daybreak from west to east. W to WSW winds around 10-12 kt, with occasional 20-kt gusts eastern TAFs. Today and Tonight: High confidence in TAF/trends, moderate on t-storm coverage and timing. Categories should be primarily VFR. Increasing mid to high clouds thru the morning hrs from W to E. By afternoon, a frontal system arrives from the WNW spreading at least light showers after 18z. Potential exists for thunder late in the day (after 22z) but the best chance is at BAF and BDL where PROB30 -TSRA was indicated. It is possible that PVD could see -TSRA too, but think the best chance is southwest of there. Winds to back from W to SW/S and increase in speed to around 10-15 kt; gusts to 20-25 kt over southeast MA. Likely ongoing SHRA (possible TS for southern/southwestern airports) to then shift SE into the waters by 02-04z. SCT-BKN VFR ceilings to then predominate for the evening/overnight. SW winds shift to W/WNW and decrease to around 5-10 kt by daybreak. Monday: High confidence. VFR. NW winds increase to around 8-12 kt with gusts 18-22 kt, with strongest gusts over the terrain. KBOS TAF...High confidence in TAF. Mainly VFR through the period. That said, risk of -SHRA could start as soon as 18z but thinking best chance is after 22z. Showers end after 02z. W winds around 10-13 kt this morning shift to SW at similar speeds, with occasional gusts to 20 kt. Winds shift to W/WNW tonight. KBDL TAF...Moderate to high confidence in TAF. VFR most of today, although could see temporary/brief MVFR/IFR visby if TSRA can develop around 22-02z. W winds become S today around 10-12 kt, then shifting to SW-W-WNW tonight. Outlook /Monday Night through Thursday/... Monday: VFR. Breezy. Monday Night: VFR. Tuesday: VFR. Breezy. Tuesday Night: VFR. Wednesday: VFR. Chance SHRA. Wednesday Night: MVFR/IFR conditions possible. Breezy. SHRA likely. Thursday: MVFR/IFR conditions possible. Breezy. Chance SHRA. && .MARINE... Forecaster Confidence Levels: Low - less than 30 percent. Medium - 30 to 60 percent. High - greater than 60 percent. High confidence... Gusty SW to W wind gusts 25-30 kt on the eastern waters, and up to 35 kt on the southern nearshore and offshore waters. Winds subside later tonight. Seas will remain elevated and rough, around 7-10 ft on the outer waters. Sunday morning SW gusts ramp up again to around 15-20 kt with seas around 4-6 ft on Sunday. Winds gust to 20-30 kts during the early overnight hours, diminishing after midnight. Chance for a few t-storms on the far southern outer waters very late Sunday afternoon, but at least scattered showers develop during the afternoon on all waters. Outlook /Monday Night through Thursday/... Monday: Winds less than 25 kt. Local rough seas. Monday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching 5 ft. Tuesday through Tuesday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Wednesday: Winds less than 25 kt. Chance of rain showers. Wednesday Night: Low risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas locally approaching 5 ft. Chance of rain showers. Thursday: Moderate risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas up to 5 ft. Chance of rain showers. && .BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... CT...None. MA...None. RI...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT this morning for ANZ230. Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM EDT this afternoon for ANZ231- 251. Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM EDT Monday for ANZ232>235-237- 250. Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT Monday for ANZ254>256. && $$ SYNOPSIS...Belk/BW NEAR TERM...Belk/Loconto/BW SHORT TERM...BW LONG TERM...Belk AVIATION...Loconto/KS MARINE...Loconto/KS
Point forecast:
https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/BOX/65,93/forecast
Zone forecast:
https://api.weather.gov/zones/forecast/MAZ014/forecast
Hourly forecast:
https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/BOX/65,93/forecast/hourly
Hourly detail:
https://api.weather.gov/gridpoints/BOX/65,93
Point detail:
https://api.weather.gov/points/42.4399,-71.2405
Alerts:
https://api.weather.gov/alerts?active=1&point=42.4399,-71.2405