Lexington, Massachusetts, USA
Short Range Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 359 AM EDT Wed May 27 2026 Valid 12Z Wed May 27 2026 - 12Z Fri May 29 2026 ...Rounds of heavy rain and thunderstorms continue for much of the Southern U.S. through late week... ...Unsettled weather lingers across parts of the West as a slow-moving Pacific low spins over California and the Great Basin... ...Summerlike heat persists for the northern Plains and Upper Midwest with widespread high temperatures well into the 80s and 90s... A very warm, humid, and unstable air mass will continue to foster numerous showers and thunderstorms for much of the Southern U.S. the next few days. Thunderstorms capable of producing heavy rainfall and flash flooding will again be a concern today, particularly across parts of the Gulf Coast from eastern Texas to southern Mississippi and far southwest Alabama. The Weather Prediction Center has issued a Slight Risk of excessive rainfall (level 2/4), highlighting the potential for scattered instances of flash flooding. Saturated soils from previous rainfall will elevate the concern, particularly in low-lying and poor drainage areas. Urban centers will be especially vulnerable as well. Farther north, a nearly stationary boundary will also become a focus for heavy rainfall across portions of the Ohio Valley and the Central Appalachians this afternoon. Similar to the risk across the Gulf Coast states, prior rainfall and increasingly saturated soils will raise the flash flood threat in spots. As a result, the Weather Prediction Center has also outlined a Slight Risk to highlight this area of concern. In addition to the heavy rain threat, severe thunderstorms will also be possible, mainly from the Ohio Valley eastward into the southern Mid-Atlantic. The primary hazards with any strong to severe storms would be damaging wind gusts and hail. Meanwhile, a large Pacific low-pressure system will continue to sit and spin over the Great Basin and California, resulting in unsettled weather for parts of the West through mid to late week. Underneath and ahead of this system, increasing moisture will support numerous rain showers and thunderstorms, especially over California, the Great Basin, and portions of the Pacific Northwest. Some snow is also likely in the highest elevations of the Sierra. The combination of cloud cover, precipitation, and a colder air mass aloft will maintain temperatures that are 10 to 20 degrees below normal across portions of California, Nevada, Utah, and Arizona. Gusty winds will also accompany this system, creating elevated fire weather concerns where conditions remain dry. In contrast to the cooler than normal temperatures for parts of the West, unseasonably hot weather will remain entrenched across the northern Plains and Upper Midwest. High temperatures are forecast to climb well into the 80s and 90s the next few days, with some locations across eastern Montana and western North Dakota potentially nearing or eclipsing 100 degrees. These early season summerlike temperatures could become hazardous to those who are heat-sensitive, highlighted by widespread moderate to major levels of HeatRisk through the end of the week. Miller Graphics available at https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php