Lexington, Massachusetts, USA
000
FXUS61 KBOX 080710
AFDBOX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
310 AM EDT Wed Apr 8 2026
.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No significant changes.
&&
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Sunny & cool today with highs in the upper 40s to the lower 50s
except near 40 along parts of the immediate eastern MA coast. Cold
tonight with clear skies/light winds & lows mainly in the 20s.
- Dry with moderating temps Thu/Fri. Highs in the 50s/near 60 Thu &
well into the 60s on Fri.
- Pleasant April weather this weekend with highs mainly in the upper
50s to the lower 60s. Generally dry this weekend outside a few brief
showers possible Fri night/early Sat morning.
- Temperatures uncertain on Mon depending on speed of a warm
front, but by Tue it will be unseasonably warm with many
locations potentially reaching 80+. Dry weather dominates Mon
and Tue outside a few brief showers possible.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...Sunny & cool today with highs in the upper 40s to
the lower 50s except near 40 along parts of the immediate eastern MA
coast. Cold tonight with clear skies/light winds & lows mainly in
the 20s.
A large 1035+ mb high pressure system will be centered across the
region today. This will result in sunny skies...light winds and cool
temperatures. The strong April sunshine will allow highs to reach
the upper 40s to the lower 50s. However...a weak pressure gradient
will allow sea breezes to develop along portions of the immediate
coast by afternoon. This will result in afternoon temperatures mainly
in the upper 30s and lower 40s along the eastern MA coast.
High pressure will remain in control of our weather tonight as it
slowly moves east of the region. Light/calm winds, clear skies and a
dry airmass for April standards will allow for ideal radiational
cooling tonight. Temps will drop quickly after sunset...Low temps by
daybreak Thu will be mainly in the 20s but some upper teens are
possible in the normally coldest outlying locations. The urban heat
island of Boston will be the mild spot with overnight lows in the
lower 30s.
KEY MESSAGE 2...Dry with moderating temps Thu/Fri. Highs in the
50s to near 60 Thu & well into the 60s Fri.
The upper trough over the Northeast shifts east of the region Thu
into Fri. The ensembles are in very good agreement in westerly
flow aloft and above normal height fields. The result will
be moderating temps Thu and Fri with continued dry weather. Highs on
Thu will be mainly in the 50s to perhaps near 60 in a few spots. By
Fri highs will be well into the 60s across much of the region.
KEY MESSAGE 3...Pleasant April weather this weekend with highs
mainly in the upper 50s to the lower 60s. Generally dry this
weekend outside a few brief showers possible Fri night/early
Sat morning.
A weak cold front crosses the region Fri night into early Sat
morning. Forcing and deep layer moisture is rather limited...but a
few brief showers will be possible. Otherwise...a 1035 mb high
pressure system will build in from the west for the weekend.
This will result in very pleasant April weather for the rest of the
weekend. Highs will mainly be in the upper 50s to the lower 60s with
cooler conditions at times along parts of the immediate coast with
sea breezes.
KEY MESSAGE 4...Temperatures uncertain on Mon depending on the timing
of a warm front, but by Tue it will be unseasonably warm with many
locations potentially reaching 80+. Dry weather dominates Mon and Tue
outside a few brief showers possible.
High pressure shifts east of the region early next week. The long range
ensembles indicate upper level ridging over the Gulf nosing northward
into New England with well above normal height fields. High temps on
Mon are uncertain depending on the timing of a warm frontal passage.
The GFS is quickest with highs well into the 70s...while the
CMC/ECMWF are slower indicating highs in the 50s to the lower 60s.
However...by Tue the guidance is in very good agreement in the
potential for many locations to see high temps of 80+ with
southwest flow. Still a lot can change in this time range...but
certainly the potential for summerlike warmth by next Tue afternoon.
A few showers will be possible with the warm front on Mon and
perhaps by later Tue/Tue night with shortwave energy approaching
from the west. But overall...much of this time may feature dry
weather.
&&
.AVIATION /07Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Forecaster Confidence Levels...
Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.
06z TAF Update...High confidence.
VFR conditions today through Thursday. NW Winds will continue
to diminish and shift to the NE this morning...but some 20-25 knot
gusts will still be possible across the Cape/Nantucket. Winds then
become SE and light to calm at times later today into
tonight...Before southerly wind gusts of 15 to 25 knots develop
Thursday afternoon.
KBOS Terminal...High confidence in TAF. Sea breeze develops by
lunchtime.
KBDL Terminal...High confidence in TAF.
Outlook /Thursday Night through Sunday/...
Thursday Night through Friday: VFR. Breezy.
Friday Night: VFR. Breezy. Chance SHRA.
Saturday: VFR. Breezy.
Saturday Night through Sunday: VFR.
&&
.MARINE...
Forecaster Confidence Levels...
Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.
Today through Thursday...High confidence.
Lingering NW small craft wind gusts will continue to diminish
from west to east through the morning as high pressure builds
across the waters. Winds/seas should then remain below small
craft advisory thresholds through Thursday as high gradually
shifts east of the waters. That being said...things may get a
bit choppy Thu afternoon with some southerly 20+ knot gusts
developing.
Outlook /Thursday Night through Sunday/...
Thursday Night: Winds less than 25 kt.
Friday: Winds less than 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching 5 ft.
Friday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas up to 5 ft. Chance of
rain showers.
Saturday through Saturday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas up
to 5 ft.
Sunday: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas locally approaching 5 ft.
&&
.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
MA...None.
RI...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 5 AM EDT early this morning for
ANZ230-237.
Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EDT this morning for ANZ231-
232-254-255.
Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT this morning for
ANZ233>235-250-251-256.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Frank
AVIATION...Frank
MARINE...Frank
Meta data:
ID: 9ee2b7d3-bc8b-4689-94bc-aac0ec135977
Link:
https://api.weather.gov/products/9ee2b7d3-bc8b-4689-94bc-aac0ec135977
Index:
https://api.weather.gov/products/types/AFD/locations/BOX